Covid is coming: how to ride out the expected winter surge

It's almost three years since the first case of Covid-19 and another surge is expected this autumn. We look into the ongoing risks and necessary precautions for cyclists

Image shows a cyclist on a bike ride during Autumn.
(Image credit: Future)

Most of us are by now familiar with the experience of having our training or racing disrupted by a bout of Covid-19. The UK has endured three major Covid waves in 2022 alone, and more are forecast. Prof Karl Friston, a virus modeller at University College London (UCL), predicts that in late November there will be a spike bigger than any we’ve seen to date, with up to 8 per cent of the UK population infected, then a further wave next March. What do we need to know, as cyclists, to minimise the impact on our riding this autumn and winter? 

The World Health Organisation also foresees a challenging autumn and winter ahead for Europe. A high number of cases increases the chances of new variants, which are likely to be more transmissible; whether they would cause more or less severe disease than the currently dominant Omicron variant remains unclear. 

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Charlie Allenby
Freelance journalist

Charlie Allenby is a freelance journalist specialising in cycling, running and fitness. He has written for publications including the Guardian, the Independent, T3, Bike Radar, Runner’s World, Time Out London and Conde Nast Traveller, and cut his teeth as staff writer for Road Cycling UK (RIP). He is also the author of Bike London: A Guide to Cycling in the City. When not chained to his desk, Charlie can be found exploring the lanes and bridlepaths of Hertfordshire and Essex aboard his pink and purple Genesis Fugio.