'The race will explode': Tadej Pogačar and his team promise drama on final Tour de France Pyrenean showdown
The Slovenian has to overturn a 2-18 deficit to the Dane
This is it.
It's not quite last chance saloon for Tadej Pogačar (UAE-Team Emirates) because there's a 40.7km time trial to come on Saturday, but if the defending champion wants to retain his Tour de France title he needs to crack Jonas Vingegaard (Jumbo-Visma) on Thursday's final mountain showdown.
Ever since Vingegaard spectacularly took yellow off Pogačar on the Col du Granon on stage 11, the quiet Dane hasn't flinched, nullifying all of his rival's many digs and attacks, including limiting his losses on stage 17's savagely steep finale to just four lost bonus seconds.
Stage 18 takes the riders across three peaks in the Pyrenees, beginning with the HC ascent of the Col d'Aubisque, continuing with the climb up to the Col de Spandelles that is making its debut, and finishing at Hautacam.
Alongside stage 11, some are nominate it as the race's Queen stage. Vingegaard, on paper, should be relaxed: he has an extra two teammates, he hasn't looked like cracking so far, and the finishing gradients aren't as evil as the Peyragudes which, the narrative suggests, works in the Dane's favour.
But Pogačar's team remain bullish. They've been talking ever since he ceded yellow about racing aggressively, and they're promising fireworks one more time.
"Everything is possible," Mikkel Bjerg stated. "Tadej, he had one bad day and lost the yellow jersey, so we need to put the pressure on and see if Jonas has a bad day.
Get The Leadout Newsletter
The latest race content, interviews, features, reviews and expert buying guides, direct to your inbox!
"It's one of the hardest stages in this year's Tour. Tadej has good legs, we all feel confident and good that we can try to do something."
Their chances were seemingly diminished before the start of stage 17 when Rafał Majka, one of the standout riders of this year's Tour, was forced to pull out with a muscle strain sustained when his chain snapped the stage earlier.
He still made it to Peyragudes though as a spectactor, and he smiled like a man who knew what was around the corner. "The Tour is not finished," he made clear. "There is one more hard day, and I think it's harder.
"Today [stage 17 - ed] all the GC guys were dropped, [the parcours was] going up, going down al day. Tomorrow's an even harder stage and I think the race will explode."
His rival, Jumbo-Visma's Sepp Kuss, shared the assessment, the American preparing himself for one more huge battle as the world watches on.
"Pogačar came super-close [on stage 17] and tomorrow is a different animal. [It will be] maybe similar, and if it takes a while for the break to go, perhaps until the first climb, it will be pretty crazy but less explosive than today with the longer climbs."
Kuss referenced the apparent favourable day for his own teammate, but was also aware of fatigue. "I think it [stage 17] was the day that suited him [Vingegaard] less compared to a day like tomorrow [today]. But in the third week, you can do damage on any climb."
Jumbo's DS Grischa Niermann expected intensity from UAE, too. "You could see that even though he only had three teammates, with two they could control the race. They will try something like this again."
The anticipation of the Tour de France generally generates more excitement than the action itself, and when - and where - the attacks will come from is a mystery.
UAE, despite their confidence, are also bruised from having to reassess their stage 17 tactics out on the road. They appreciate that perhaps there is nothing that will prove fatal to Vingegaard.
"Our goal [on stage 17] was to have Tadej with great legs and to put time on Jonas, but Jonas was great," said the team's DS Andrej Hauptman. "We had to change tactics on the last climb to focus on winning the stage.
"Pre-stage [the tactic] was to try on the penultimate climb, and Tadej tried on the top, but Jonas responded so we decided that maybe we just go on the last climb. But when we seen that Jonas was OK, we just focused on the stage victory."
Both teams know that Pogačar requires more than just a stage victory on stage 18; he needs to chip at least a minute off Vingegaard's 2-18 advantage.
Settle in. This is it.
Thank you for reading 20 articles this month* Join now for unlimited access
Enjoy your first month for just £1 / $1 / €1
*Read 5 free articles per month without a subscription
Join now for unlimited access
Try first month for just £1 / $1 / €1
A freelance sports journalist and podcaster, you'll mostly find Chris's byline attached to news scoops, profile interviews and long reads across a variety of different publications. He has been writing regularly for Cycling Weekly since 2013. In 2024 he released a seven-part podcast documentary, Ghost in the Machine, about motor doping in cycling.
Previously a ski, hiking and cycling guide in the Canadian Rockies and Spanish Pyrenees, he almost certainly holds the record for the most number of interviews conducted from snowy mountains. He lives in Valencia, Spain.
-
Chinese X-Lab vies for global domination as it equips XDS Astana with bikes for the WorldTour
A new partnership sees Astana aboard new bikes with increased funding for 2025
By Joe Baker Published
-
Tech of the week: Van Rysel releases an aero bike (quelle surprise!) plus a superlight carbon crankset from FSA, a long top tube bag from Tailfin and tyre liners from Zefal
The RCR-F aero bike will be ridden by the Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale team in 2025, but will it create headlines like the RCR?
By Luke Friend Published
-
Steve Cummings takes sports director role at Jayco AIUla after Ineos Grenadiers departure
'It’s an opportunity to be part of a culture that celebrates growth, resilience, and meaningful results' says 43-year-old after joining new team
By Tom Thewlis Published
-
Jonas Vingegaard plays down talk of Giro d’Italia debut in 2025, and clarifies use of carbon monoxide inhalation
Two-time Tour de France winner gives nothing away when asked if he’ll appear at the Giro, but the Worlds in Rwanda is in his sights
By Tom Thewlis Published
-
Where next for Ineos Grenadiers, now Steve Cummings has officially left?
After the Director of Racing's exit, the Tom Pidcock saga needs a final resolution before the team can move forward
By Tom Thewlis Published
-
Ineos' Director of Racing, Steve Cummings, confirms he is leaving the team after not attending a race since June
Announcement comes after months of uncertainty surrounding Cummings' position
By Tom Thewlis Published
-
Jonas Vingegaard is 'happy' while Tadej Pogačar calls Tour de France 2025 route 'brutal'
Visma-Lease a Bike sports director Grischa Niermann says course 'certainly appeals' to Dutch squad
By Tom Davidson Published
-
British free-to-air Tour de France highlights being 'explored' for 2026, after ITV loses rights
2025 will be the last year for the Tour on ITV, as 25 years of coverages comes to an end due to Warner Bros. Discovery "exclusivity" deal
By Adam Becket Published
-
Tadej Pogačar says blistering Sormano attack was 'planned' after cruising to fourth Il Lombardia title
World Champion ends his season on a high in Italy with 25th victory of the year secured at Italian Monument
By Tom Thewlis Published
-
Mark Cavendish to conclude professional cycling career in Singapore
Tour de France stage win record holder to bring curtain down on racing career at ASO end of season criteriums in Asia
By Tom Thewlis Published