Before the Giro d?Italia we predicted how the top 10 would turn out.
As the race reaches it?s first brief pause before Tuesday?s monster stage to Pinerolo, we take a look at how they?ve been getting on.
1 Ivan Basso
6th at 1-14
Still looks to be the favourite for the race, and judging by the amount of work his Liquigas team has done on the climbs, they do too. Tuesday?s mountain stage and Thursday?s time trial will tell us whether he?s good enough to beat Di Luca and Leipheimer.
2 Damiano Cunego
21st at 3-37
Our single biggest mistake was believing that Cunego could challenge. What were we thinking? He simply isn?t a grand tour rider, and that?s absolutely fine. He?s even come to terms with it himself.
3 Levi Leipheimer
4th at 51 seconds
On his Twitter feed Lance Armstrong took exception to our suggestion that Leipheimer may struggle with the Italian climbs. The thing was, that we were basing our prediction on a thing called ?evidence?. Last year, Leipheimer lost bags of time on every mountain stage. And in the past he?s been a lot more comfortable on the steadier mountains, rather than the irregular gradients more common in Italy. But it?s typical of Armstrong to use one new fact to disprove a host of older, less convenient ones. So far, Leipheimer?s not been put outside his comfort zone on the climbs. Let?s see how he copes tomorrow, but our prediction still stands ? podium potential, but not the winner.
4 Denis Menchov
5th at 58 seconds
Won the stage at Alpe di Siusi, causing us to revise our prediction upwards. Looks like podium material so far, even if he is prone to losing little bits of time here, there and everywhere when you least expect it ? usually when he?s caught behind a crash, or falls asleep on a descent.
5 Marzio Bruseghin
20th at 3-24
Looks every bit his age so far. Perhaps he?ll make up ground in Thursday?s big time trial, but he?s not going to crack the top five. Might trouble the top 10 if he?s very lucky.
6 Franco Pellizotti
9th at 1-35
Had a bit of a wobble in the Dolomites, but looks like he?ll be top ten at the end of the race.
7 David Arroyo
10th at 1-49
Needs to gain more time in the mountains to make up for his shortcomings in the time trials, so seventh may have been a bit too enthusiastic a prediction.
8 Michele Scarponi
33rd at 5-31
But for the 4-46 he lost at Alpe di Siusi, he?d be right up there among the leaders. Having said that, he?d also be minus one stage win, as he?d never have been allowed freedom. Isn?t going to make the top 10 now.
9 Tadej Valjavec
13th at 2-44
Lurking just outside the top 10. If he keeps going well, and one or two others fade away, he could make it.
10 Kanstantsin Siutsou
16th at 3-02
Won a stage, rose to 16th place and is riding well, but we?re kicking ourselves for overlooking Columbia?s other two men, Thomas Lovkvist and Michael Rogers.
WHO HAVE WE UNDER-ESTIMATED?
Danilo Di Luca ? 1st overall
How did we not see this coming? Of course Danilo Di Luca, with his chiselled jawbone and steely stare, was going to tear it up. Of course he was going to win a stage and get the pink jersey.
Thomas Lovkvist and Michael Rogers ? 2nd and 3rd overall
Whoops. Columbia has been the team of the race. And they could make the podium too.
Carlos Sastre ? 7th overall
It?s obvious now that Sastre wants to do well here, rather than just use it as preparation for the Tour de France. Now he?s in the top 10 it?s difficult to see him just fading away. It?ll take a shocker of a day for him to drop down, and we can?t see that happening either.
|Giro d’Italia 2009 links|
Stage nine: Cavendish blitzes rivals to win in Milan
Stage eight: Siutsou makes it two in a row for Columbia-Highroad
Stage seven: Boasson Hagen takes treacherous stage
Stage six: Scarponi wins longest stage with big break
Stage five: Menchov wins mountain battle as Di Luca grabs the pink jersey
Stage four: Di Luca denies Soler on the line; Lovkvist takes pink jersey
Stage three: Cavendish loses pink jersey after being caught behind late crash
Stage two: Petacchi denies Cavendish the stage win
Stage one: Cavendish in pink as Columbia prove their point to Garmin
Stage nine photo gallery
Stage eight photo gallery
Stage seven photo gallery
Stage six photo gallery
Stage five photo gallery
Stage four photo gallery
Stage three photo gallery
Stage two photo gallery
Stage one photo gallery
Desktop wallpaper photos
Cavendish says ‘I’m addicted to winning’
Riders stage go-slow protest during Giro stage in Milan
Cavendish cool before Milan sprint
No sympathy for Armstrong from Giro boss
Boasson Hagen celebrates his birthday early
Cavendish overjoyed for Boasson Hagen
Armstrong ‘livid’ at dangerous Giro stage
Astana riders wear faded kit in protest over unpaid wages
Armstrong sees Leipheimer in pink
Giro news round-up: 14 May
Wiggins: ‘I can’t keep smashing away on the climbs’
Wiggins eyes top 20 finish overall
Armstrong after Giro stage 5: ‘That was hard’
Cavendish looking for Giro revenge
Armstrong happy with stage four performance
Lovkvist will fight to keep Giro lead
Giro could be last race for Armstrong’s team
Vande Velde crashes out of Giro
Petacchi claims he didn’t know of Cavendish crash
Cavendish struggles to find consolation in pink jersey
Petacchi: I’ve been working out how to beat Cav
I’m wearing pink on behalf of the team, says Cavendish
Wiggins ready to win Giro team time trial
Friday, May 8: Giro news round-up
Cavendish out to topple Garmin in Giro team time trial
Team time trial start times
Cycling Weekly’s Giro d’Italia top ten prediction
Brits in Venice for Giro presentation
Armstrong overshadows overall favourites at Giro presentation
Armstrong confident of finding new sponsor for Astana
Armstrong working to save Astana team
Wiggins in top form for Giro
Garmin Slipstream kitted out for Giro opener
Dan Lloyd gets late Giro call-up
Armstrong’s special Giro bikes unveiled
Daniel Lloyd overlooked for Giro ride
Cummings and Thomas not selected for Giro d’Italia
Cavendish tests Giro form at Tour of Romandie
David Millar confirms he’s riding in 2009 Giro
Bennati to take on Cavendish in Giro 2009 sprints
2009 Giro d’Italia to start in Venice
Evans and Silence-Lotto disagree on Giro 2009 ride
Armstrong to ride 2009 Giro
Tuttosport reveals 2009 Giro d’Italia route
Dolce & Gabbana design new Giro jersey
2009 Giro d’Italia guide and features
Giro rest day review (May 18)
Find the pink jersey competition
Giro d’Italia 2009: The Big Preview
British riders to have led the grand tours
CW’s Giro top ten prediction
Brits in the Giro 2009
Brits in the Tours: From Robinson to Cavendish
CW Classic: the 1987 Giro d’Italia
2008 Giro d’Italia archive
Giro d’Italia 2008 coverage index – race reports, photos, results
From rule Britannia to cruel Britannia
Giro 2008: The final word on this year’s race
Brits at the 2008 Giro: photo special
Five days to go, what’s in store?
Giro d’Italia 2008: Rest day review (May 27)
Giro d’Italia 2008: Rest day review (May 19)
Giro d’Italia 2008 preview