With the queen stage of Tirreno-Adriatico cancelled on Sunday, the relatively innocuous 10km time trial to conclude the race on Tuesday will now play a huge role in deciding the overall winner.
Greg Van Avermaet (BMC) won Monday’s stage six to move into the overall lead by seven seconds over Zdenek Stybar (Etixx-Quick Step), but his time trialling is not up the standard of one of the other members of the top 10.
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Last year, on the exact same 10km course in San Benedetto del Tronto, Fabian Cancellara smashed his way round in 11-23. Peter Sagan – who sits in third place, eight seconds down – was well out of the hunt for the classification last year and pootled round in 14-22, and was the slowest finisher. He will probably try harder this year, but the course isn’t really to his suiting to overcome a deficit.
Van Avermaet, meanwhile, only lost 27 seconds to Cancellara so could pose more of a threat than the likes of Jungels would like.
Tirreno-Adriatico general classification odds (all with BetFred)
Bob Jungels (5/2)
Greg Van Avermaet (7/2)
Peter Sagan (4/1)
Zdenek Stybar (10/1)