With the queen stage of Tirreno-Adriatico cancelled on Sunday, the relatively innocuous 10km time trial to conclude the race on Tuesday will now play a huge role in deciding the overall winner.
Greg Van Avermaet (BMC) won Monday’s stage six to move into the overall lead by seven seconds over Zdenek Stybar (Etixx-Quick Step), but his time trialling is not up the standard of one of the other members of the top 10.
Last year, on the exact same 10km course in San Benedetto del Tronto, Fabian Cancellara smashed his way round in 11-23. Peter Sagan – who sits in third place, eight seconds down – was well out of the hunt for the classification last year and pootled round in 14-22, and was the slowest finisher. He will probably try harder this year, but the course isn’t really to his suiting to overcome a deficit.
Van Avermaet, meanwhile, only lost 27 seconds to Cancellara so could pose more of a threat than the likes of Jungels would like.
Tirreno-Adriatico general classification odds (all with BetFred)
Bob Jungels (5/2)
Greg Van Avermaet (7/2)
Peter Sagan (4/1)
Zdenek Stybar (10/1)