Who are the bookies's favourites for the Tour de France 2021?

Who the bookies tipping to take the yellow jersey in Paris

Tadej Pogačar gets congratulated by Primož Roglič after winning the Tour de France 2020
(Image credit: Tim de Waele/Getty Images)

The Tour de France is not far away now and the big race has attracted some of the world's best riders yet again - but who have the bookies picked out as their favourite?

As the Tour gets going on June 26 in Brest, Brittany, we'll see the battle of the Slovenian stars once again with defending champion Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates) going up against Primoż Roglič (Jumbo-Visma).

But, will it just be a two-horse race for the title? Well, there are multiple riders who will be coming to try and halt the Slovenian charge.

Ineos Grenadiers will likely be keen to put a spanner in the works as they bring three potential team leaders to the race with Critérium du Dauphiné winner Richie Porte, 2018 Tour de France winner Geraint Thomas and 2019 Giro d'Italia winner Richard Carapaz all lining up for the British super-team.

>>> Tour de France 2021 route: Details of all the stages in the 108th edition

Along with that, there are a huge group of extremely talented climbers, mostly from Colombia including Nairo Quintana (Arkéa-Samsic), Miguel Ángel López (Movistar), Rigoberto Urán and Sergio Higuita (EF Education-Nippo) not to mention a plethora of others.

It will be the first time we've seen Roglič race since his 13th place at Liège-Bastogne-Liège in April. The runner up at last year's edition of the Tour decided to opt for an extended altitude camp with a few of his team-mates, including Wout van Aert. Roglič's odds come in at 45/17.

The bookies' favourite, Pogačar, on the other hand, has returned to racing after a similar break to Roglič, in his home race of the Tour of Slovenia where he has already started to dominate the racing there. His odds are at 13/8.

The Ineos trio has taken a more traditional path towards the Tour, building their form in week-long races such as Tirreno-Adriatico before heading to the main build-up races of Critérium du Dauphiné and the Tour de Suisse.

Porte, whose odds are at 33/1, took the Dauphiné and looked very solid in the climbs and the time trial with Thomas managing third place overall. Porte has said he will be returning the favour for Thomas at the Tour but time will tell if that's true. The 2018 winner, Thomas's odds have him at third favourite with 6/1.

Carapaz is also looking in very good form after a strong Ardennes Classics campaign, he came into the Tour de Suisse, which is still ongoing, as the favourite. He did not disappoint on the first mountain stage, putting in a big attack to catch up with the leader on the road, Jakob Fuglsang (Astana-Premier Tech), before out-sprinting him to the line to take the stage and the overall lead. The Ecuadorian sits above Porte in the favourites list at 18/1.

>>> Tour de France 2021 start list: Teams for the 108th edition

Other potential favourites are Julian Alaphilippe (Deceuninck - Quick-Step) at 33/1, Tao Geoghegan Hart (Ineos Grenadiers) at 50/1, Miguel Ángel López at 50/1, Enric Mas (Movistar) at 66/1, David Gaudu (Groupama-FDJ) at 80/1, Nairo Quintana at 100/1.

Some riders have shortened their odds considerably due to recent performances, one such rider is Ukrainian rider Mark Padun (Bahrain Victorious) who won two stages back-to-back at the Dauphiné as well as the mountains jersey. This has shortened his odds to 50/1 for the overall title.

Riders to look out for at longer odds are Jack Haig (Bahrain Victorious) at 100/1, Jakob Fuglsang (Astana-Premier Tech) at 175/1, Esteban Chaves (BikeExchange) at 200/1, Michael Woods (Israel Start-Up Nation) at 275/1 and Pello Bilbao (Bahrain Victorious) at 500/1.

Tour de France 2021 odds (Winner - Oddschecker)

Tadej Pogačar (Slo) UAE Team Emirates, at 13/8
Primož Roglič (Slo) Team Jumbo-Visma, at 45/17
Geraint Thomas (GBr) Ineos Grenadiers, at 6/1
Richard Carapaz (Ecu) Ineos Grenadiers, at 18/1
Richie Porte (Aus) Ineos Grenadiers, at 33/1
Julian Alaphilippe (Fra) Deceuninck - Quick-Step, at 33/1
Tao Geoghegan Hart (GBr) Ineos Grendaiders, at 50/1
Miguel Ángel López (Col) Movistar Team, at 50/1
Mark Padun (Ukr) Bahrain Victorious, at 50/1
Enric Mas (Esp) Movistar Team, at 66/1

All odds correct at time of publication

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Tim Bonville-Ginn

Hi, I'm one of Cycling Weekly's content writers for the web team responsible for writing stories on racing, tech, updating evergreen pages as well as the weekly email newsletter. Proud Yorkshireman from the UK's answer to Flanders, Calderdale, go check out the cobbled climbs!


I started watching cycling back in 2010, before all the hype around London 2012 and Bradley Wiggins at the Tour de France. In fact, it was Alberto Contador and Andy Schleck's battle in the fog up the Tourmalet on stage 17 of the Tour de France.


It took me a few more years to get into the journalism side of things, but I had a good idea I wanted to get into cycling journalism by the end of year nine at school and started doing voluntary work soon after. This got me a chance to go to the London Six Days, Tour de Yorkshire and the Tour of Britain to name a few before eventually joining Eurosport's online team while I was at uni, where I studied journalism. Eurosport gave me the opportunity to work at the world championships in Harrogate back in the awful weather.


After various bar jobs, I managed to get my way into Cycling Weekly in late February of 2020 where I mostly write about racing and everything around that as it's what I specialise in but don't be surprised to see my name on other news stories.


When not writing stories for the site, I don't really switch off my cycling side as I watch every race that is televised as well as being a rider myself and a regular user of the game Pro Cycling Manager. Maybe too regular.


My bike is a well used Specialized Tarmac SL4 when out on my local roads back in West Yorkshire as well as in northern Hampshire with the hills and mountains being my preferred terrain.